November 12, 2024 11:02 pm

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Weekly Market Insights: Powell Favors Quick Movement

Hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell overshadowed many largely positive earnings results, sending stocks lower for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.86%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 dropped 2.75%. The Nasdaq Composite index fell 3.83% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, advanced 0.50%.1,2,3

Focus Comes Off Earnings

With the inflation report in the rearview mirror and a Fed meeting two weeks away, many may have expected corporate earnings to be in focus last week. Comments by Jerome Powell stole the spotlight.

Investors began the week awaiting earnings reports looking for insight into businesses handling the latest inflation, a jittery consumer, tighter monetary policy, and ongoing supply chain issues. Despite one high-profile earnings disappointment, corporate profits appeared better than expected. By the time trading began on Thursday, 17% of S&P 500 companies had reported, and 81% had beaten Wall Street analysts’ estimates. Investors responded positively, sending share prices higher until Powell’s comments on Thursday afternoon triggered selling into the day’s close and accelerated through Friday.4

Powell Unnerves Markets

On Thursday, at an event hosted by the International Monetary Fund, the Fed Chair offered his view that it may be appropriate to move more quickly on raising interest rates. He indicated that a 50 basis point hike was on the table for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).5

His comments also emphasized the need to restore price stability, recalling the successful efforts of former Fed Chair Paul Volker, who used a series of rate hikes to tame the inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. While some observers anticipated these comments, yields rose, and stocks fell in response.

This Week: Key Economic Data

  • Tuesday: Durable Goods Orders. Consumer Confidence. New Home Sales.
  • Thursday: Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Jobless Claims.
  • Friday: Consumer Sentiment.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

  • Monday: The Coca-Cola Company (KO).
  • Tuesday: Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Visa, Inc. (V), Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL), General Motors Company (GM), Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), 3M Company (MMM), Texas Instruments, Inc. (TXN), United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG).
  • Wednesday: Meta Platforms, Inc. (FB), The Boeing Company (BA), Ford Motor Company (F), Qualcomm, Inc. (QCOM), PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL), Amgen, Inc. (AMGN), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC).
  • Thursday: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Intel Corporation (INTC), Mastercard, Inc. (MA), Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT), Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK), McDonald’s Corporation (MCD), The Southern Company (SO), Eli Lilly and Company (LLY), Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC).
  • Friday: AbbVie, Inc. (ABBV), Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM), Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMY), Chevron Corporation (CVX), Honeywell International, Inc. (HON), Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL), L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX).

Be On the Lookout for Unemployment Identity Theft Scams

With millions of people receiving unemployment, it’s no surprise that scammers are taking advantage of this situation and filing fraudulent claims for unemployment compensation. They do this by using stolen personal information of taxpayers who haven’t filed unemployment claims.

If you filed for unemployment and received an incorrect Form 1099-G, make sure to contact the issuing agency to request a revised form. You can also contact the IRS and request an identity protection PIN to protect your identity when filing your federal tax return. Make sure to also educate yourself on the many signs of identity theft and take the proper steps to protect yourself.

* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. Tip adapted from IRS.gov6

Footnotes and Sources

  1. The Wall Street Journal, April 22, 2022
  2. The Wall Street Journal, April 22, 2022
  3. The Wall Street Journal, April 22, 2022
  4. CNBC, April 21, 2022
  5. CNBC, April 21, 2022
  6. IRS.gov, February 24, 2021

Paul Ellis
Photo of Paul Ellis, CIMA®.

Paul Ellis, CIMA® may be reached at 425.405.7720 or paul.ellis@elliswealthmanagement.net.

www.elliswealthmangement.net

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. This information has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All indices are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment.

Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Ellis Wealth Management, LLC are not affiliated. The information in this email is confidential and is intended solely for the addressee. If you are not the intended addressee and have received this email in error, please reply to the sender to inform them of this fact. We cannot accept trade orders through email. Important letters, email, or fax messages should be confirmed by calling (425) 405-7720. This email service may not be monitored every day, or after normal business hours. This material distributed via the MarketingPro system.  

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