A higher-than-expected inflation report triggered a sell-off on Friday, leaving stocks in the red for the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 4.58%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 dropped 5.05%. The Nasdaq Composite index slid 5.60% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, declined 1.81%.1,2,3
Inflation Upends Stocks
Stocks gyrated between gains and losses last week until sliding lower on Friday’s hot inflation report, which heightened worries over a more aggressive Fed and a further economic slowdown. Stocks moved higher to begin the week, despite rising bond yields, a profit warning from a major retailer, and Senate testimony by Secretary of Treasury Janet Yellen, who said that inflation was likely to remain elevated.
Stocks turned lower later in the week on renewed concerns of an economic slowdown, sparked by a downward revision in The Federal Reserve-Atlanta’s real-time estimate of second-quarter GDP growth and a drop in new mortgage applications. Investors lightening up on stocks ahead of Friday’s inflation report may have also contributed to Thursday’s selling.
Inside Inflation
Consumer prices rose 8.6% year-over-year in May, marking the highest rate since December 1981. Price increases over the last 12 months were driven by a 34.6% jump in energy prices and by food costs, which climbed 10.1%. Used car and truck prices, which had seen three straight months of declines, rose 1.8% from April, while airfares soared 12.6% in May.4
May’s inflation exceeded economists’ forecasts and dashed the hopes that inflation had plateaued. In a separate economic report on Friday, real wages (net of inflation) fell 0.6% in April and were lower by 3% from 12 months ago.5
This Week: Key Economic Data
- Tuesday: Producer Price Index.
- Wednesday: Retail Sales. FOMC Announcement.
- Thursday:Â Jobless Claims. Housing Starts.
- Friday: Industrial Production. Index of Leading Economic Indicators.
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
- Thursday: Adobe, Inc. (ADBE), The Kroger Co. (KR).
Footnotes and Sources
- The Wall Street Journal, June 10, 2022
- The Wall Street Journal, June 10, 2022
- The Wall Street Journal, June 10, 2022
- CNBC, June 10, 2022
- CNBC, June 10, 2022
Paul Ellis, CIMA® may be reached at 425.405.7720 or paul.ellis@elliswealthmanagement.net.
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